Equilibria and Learning in Competitive Market Making

cs.GT cs.LG q-fin.TR Matteo Onger, Luigi Foscari · Oct 22, 2026
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What it does
Onger and Foscari analyze competitive market making as a two-sided pricing game where strategic liquidity providers face a non-strategic informed trader with inelastic demand. Because bid and ask quotes jointly set the market mid-price...
Why it matters
Because bid and ask quotes jointly set the market mid-price that determines trade direction, standard equilibrium existence theorems fail and payoffs are non-convex and discontinuous. The authors prove that pure-strategy Nash equilibria...
Main concern
The paper delivers an elegant theoretical bridge between Bertrand competition and market microstructure, proving PSNE existence through a novel fixed-point argument on the midpoint operator $H(m)$ and deriving a sharp linear...
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Plain-language introduction

Onger and Foscari analyze competitive market making as a two-sided pricing game where strategic liquidity providers face a non-strategic informed trader with inelastic demand. Because bid and ask quotes jointly set the market mid-price that determines trade direction, standard equilibrium existence theorems fail and payoffs are non-convex and discontinuous. The authors prove that pure-strategy Nash equilibria exist via a novel fixed-point argument on a midpoint operator, derive a structural linear scaling of spreads with asset volatility, and show that no-internal-regret learning on fine price grids recovers the competitive benchmark as tick size vanishes.

Critical review
Verdict
Bottom line

The paper delivers an elegant theoretical bridge between Bertrand competition and market microstructure, proving PSNE existence through a novel fixed-point argument on the midpoint operator $H(m)$ and deriving a sharp linear volatility-spread scaling law. However, the model assumes a non-strategic trader and perfectly inelastic demand, while the learning guarantee relies on an unmotivated regularity condition $a'(m)+b'(m)\leq 2$; additionally, the simulation details are not present in the provided text, leaving empirical claims unverified.

“at least one PSNE always exists under minimal assumptions on the underlying asset value distribution, and that the equilibrium bid–ask spread widens strictly with asset value volatility”
paper · Abstract
“Our existence proof instead exploits the monotonicity of the midpoint operator via Tarski’s theorem”
paper · Section 1.2
What holds up

The strongest element is the equilibrium existence proof in continuous quote spaces where standard theorems fail. The authors define the midpoint operator $H(m)\coloneq(\mathbb{E}[V\mid V>m]+\mathbb{E}[V\mid V

“We first establish that HH is an order-preserving self-map on the complete lattice [v̲,v̄]”
paper · Theorem 3.3 proof
“the equilibrium bid–ask spread at any PSNE μ+σz of the Vσ-market equals σ w_1(z), growing linearly in σ”
paper · Section 3.1
Main concerns

The model assumes a single representative trader who is fully informed and non-strategic, eliminating the classic adverse-selection and inventory-risk channels that dominate market-microstructure theory. The authors acknowledge that 'quotes determine the direction of trade rather than its occurrence,' but the zero-profit benchmark may be fragile once traders react strategically or demand becomes elastic. Additionally, the learning guarantee in Section 4 hinges on the regularity condition $a'(m)+b'(m)\leq 2$, which bounds the midpoint operator's slope; while sufficient for concentration of grid correlated equilibria, it is merely assumed rather than derived from primitive distributional properties, and the paper does not discuss whether it holds for common families such as uniforms or truncated normals.

“quotes determine the direction of trade rather than its occurrence”
paper · Section 1.2
“a'(m)+b'(m) ≤ 2”
paper · Section 4, Regularity
Evidence and comparison

The theoretical claims are internally consistent and the proofs are rigorous given the model's assumptions. The volatility-spread scaling law is derived cleanly from location-scale families and contrasted with information-based explanations. However, the paper positions itself against algorithmic collusion tests by Hartline et al., arguing volatility-driven widening is a 'benign, competitive source' of correlated price movement, yet this discussion is speculative without an empirical counterpart. The learning comparison to Stoltz and Lugosi is fair, but the convergence result is asymptotic in tick size $\Delta$ and does not characterize finite-grid rates, leaving a gap relative to practical market tick sizes.

“volatility-driven spread widening is a benign, competitive source of precisely the price patterns these tests are built to flag”
paper · Section 3.1
“Unlike Stoltz and Lugosi (2007), who learn over compact strategy sets with continuous payoffs, we approximate our discontinuous game by grid games”
paper · Section 1.2
Reproducibility

Reproduction relies entirely on the theoretical framework: the model is fully specified in Section 2, the payoff functions are explicit, and the equilibrium characterization reduces to finding fixed points of $H(m)$. However, the paper does not mention code availability, and the simulation section is truncated in the provided text, so hyperparameters, learner algorithms, and grid sizes remain unknown. Independent reproduction of the learning experiments would require the missing experimental details from Section 5, without which the empirical validation claim cannot be assessed.

“empirically validate our theoretical results through numerical simulations in Section 5”
paper · Abstract
“The grid game 𝒢_Δ ... with each maker's strategy space restricted to 𝒮_i^Δ”
paper · Section 4.2
Abstract

We propose a market-making game played among $N \ge 2$ strategic market makers and a single non-strategic representative trader. In a continuous quote space, standard finite-game arguments do not apply, while non-convex and discontinuous payoffs rule out classical continuous existence results and complicate learning. Nonetheless, we characterize pure-strategy Nash equilibria (PSNEs) and show that at least one PSNE always exists under minimal assumptions on the underlying asset value distribution, and that the equilibrium bid-ask spread widens strictly with asset value volatility. To obtain a tractable learning framework, we discretize prices and, under an additional regularity condition, show that the time-averaged play of no-internal-regret learners approaches the continuous Nash price envelope as the tick size vanishes. Finally, we empirically validate our theoretical results through numerical simulations.

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