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cs.CVcs.AI Yifeng Yao, Jinghan Li, Zhihao Zhang et al. · Oct 22, 2026

Most video pretraining methods recover masked content within a clip rather than predicting the future, and autoregressive token prediction has lagged joint-embedding methods in representation quality. VANE proposes next-frame prediction in a frozen semantic embedding space, using a causal encoder and a lightweight generative decoder to preserve spatial detail, and extends the same objective to still images via local-to-global crops. This unifies image and video pretraining under a single scalable objective centered on temporal evolution, yielding strong gains on anticipation, recognition, and dense benchmarks.

Video provides a natural source of supervision: what happens next serves as a learning signal for visual world modeling. Yet masked video pretraining focuses on recovering missing content from surrounding context rather than predicting the future from the past. Autoregressive methods instead predict forward one token at a time, but have yet to match joint-embedding methods in representation quality. This gap motivates us to revisit the granularity and space of future prediction. In this work, we introduce VANE, a self-supervised visual pretraining framework built on next-frame prediction in embedding space. A causal encoder summarizes past observations for a state predictor that infers the representation of the entire next frame, making temporal evolution the primary learning signal. This prediction is carried out in a fixed embedding space provided by a frozen semantic tokenizer, emphasizing scene content and structure. To retain fine-grained spatial detail alongside semantic content, a lightweight auxiliary generative decoder reconstructs future-frame patches conditioned on the predicted representations. To unify visual modeling across images and videos, we construct a local-to-global crop sequence for still images, allowing the same encoder to predict newly revealed regions from earlier crops under the same objective. Experiments show that VANE improves with model and data scaling, achieving SOTA on most anticipation, recognition, and dense perception benchmarks among unified encoders. Especially on EPIC-KITCHENS-100 action anticipation, it surpasses V-JEPA 2.1 by 7.1 points in mean-class recall@5. These results demonstrate that next-frame prediction in embedding space is effective and scalable for visual world modeling.
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cs.CLcs.AI Yang Liu, Zhiqiang Yuan, Shu-Dong Huang et al. · Oct 22, 2026

ULME tackles the frictions between text embedding and text generation, which are usually handled by separate models with incompatible objectives. The paper proposes a post-training framework for causal decoder-only LLMs that inserts a chain of learnable slots between the query and answer, then couples the two tasks via a stop-gradient predictive loss so that generation actively shapes the embedding. Across eight scales of Qwen2.5 and Qwen3 (0.5B–8B), a single ULME checkpoint raises MTEB scores by 3.3–4.1 points over the strongest open baseline while remaining on par with generation-only fine-tuning on standard accuracy benchmarks.

Text embedding and text generation are two of the most useful capabilities of modern large language models, yet they are typically provided by separate specialized models (an embedder and a generator) trained with incompatible objectives and deployed side by side in retrieval-augmented generation and agent systems. Recent unified embedding-generation models such as GritLM share parameters between the two capabilities, but they either switch attention regimes between modes or optimize embedding and language modeling as parallel objectives that never supervise each other. We argue that these designs are only partially unified: the two capabilities coexist on the same weights, but do not shape each other. We propose ULME, a post-training framework that unifies embedding and language modeling on a causal decoder-only LLM through predictive coupling. ULME inserts a chain of learnable slots between the query and the answer, reads a semantic embedding and a reasoning embedding from two designated slots, and trains three objectives on a shared causal backbone: a contrastive loss anchoring the semantic slot to document representations, a language-modeling loss supervising answer generation, and a stop-gradient predictive loss that aligns the reasoning slot with a pooled summary of the answer, so that generation actively shapes what the embedding encodes. Across two model families (Qwen2.5, Qwen3) and eight scales spanning 0.5B-8B parameters, a single ULME checkpoint improves MTEB by 3.3-4.1 points over the strongest open-source baseline, tightens BRIGHT and AdvBench-IR simultaneously, and remains on par with a generation-only fine-tune on standard accuracy benchmarks (MMLU, GSM8K, MMLU-Pro, HumanEval), demonstrating that genuine unification yields mutually reinforcing rather than merely coexisting capabilities.
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cs.AIcs.CLcs.CR Yuchen Wu (University of Washington), Jerry Wei (Anthropic) · Oct 22, 2026

The paper asks how to predict the performance of a safety probe before it is trained. Its core finding is that probe error follows two scaling laws: a power-law floor in model size and a Hill-curve approach to that floor as labels increase. This matters because it could let safety teams budget labels and choose architectures for new models without expensive grid search.

Safety probes trained on a model's activations are a standard tool for monitoring language models in real time. Each time a new model is released or a new harm area needs to be monitored, the probe must be retrained, which requires new labels and a choice of probe architecture. Yet neither the model nor the labels tell us in advance how well the resulting probe will perform. Finding out requires training and comparing many probe configurations. In this paper, we ask whether probe performance can instead be predicted in advance from model size and the number of labels. Existing safety datasets are insufficient for this, as they are either limited in scale or already saturated. We therefore construct six new safety datasets of sufficient size and difficulty. On these datasets, we train two probe architectures on 20 base models from five model families, with 32 to $10^{6}$ labels for each model. We measure performance using probe error, defined as 1 - AUROC, where lower values are better. We find that probe error follows two simple scaling laws. First, the lowest probe error a model can reach falls as a power law in its size. Second, probe error decreases towards its floor as the number of examples increases; the slope increases as the target model size increases. Both laws hold across tasks, model families and probe architectures, and only their fitted constants differ. When fitted on the smallest models of a family, the laws predict the error of the next larger model to within 0.02 in 72% of cases. They also identify whether more labels or a larger model is the cheaper way to reach a target error in 73% of cases. Finally, they choose the probe architecture with an extra error of only 0.006 on average when they pick the worse one. These laws allow safety researchers to determine how to create the best probe for any given model and label budget.
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cs.CLcs.AI Qince Luan, Jianhui Xu, Yang Xu · Oct 22, 2026

Singular-value spectra shape how transformer MLPs amplify different directions, yet their causal role in downstream capabilities is poorly understood. This paper introduces a post-hoc "Matthew" perturbation that reweights the singular values of MLP up_proj and down_proj matrices around their geometric mean—spiking inequality with $\alpha>0$ or smoothing it with $\alpha<0$—while preserving singular vectors and the geometric mean. Across five instruction-tuned Llama and Qwen models, the authors evaluate perturbed systems on 118 capability-labeled subtasks, auxiliary benchmarks, and personality probes, arguing that spectral inequality is a manipulable variable that can selectively trade off factual knowledge, language understanding, and deductive reasoning without retraining.

Singular-value spectra encode important structure in transformer feed-forward projections, yet their causal role in downstream behavior remains underexplored. We study post-hoc spectral smoothing and spiking interventions on the up_proj and down_proj matrices. Positive perturbation stretches deviations from the geometric mean, making large singular values larger and small ones smaller (spiking), and vice versa. The intervention preserves singular vectors and the geometric mean of the singular values. Across five open Llama and Qwen instruction models, we evaluate the perturbed systems on capability-labeled subtasks, standard and chain-of-thought reasoning benchmarks, judge-scored truthfulness, hallucination, and safety tasks, and TRAIT personality probes. To interpret score shifts, we fit responses in a three-dimensional capability basis consisting of factual knowledge, language understanding, and deductive reasoning. The induced changes suggest structured rather than purely random sensitivity: large positive perturbations more reliably suppress language and deductive responses, moderate negative perturbations can sometimes improve factual or task-local performance on the evaluated grids, and sensitivity varies strongly by model family, benchmark module, and underlying layerwise spectral inequality. These results position spectral perturbation as a lightweight intervention for probing how capabilities are organized and traded off in large language models.
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cs.AIcs.CL Rhitabrat Pokharel, Ameeta Agrawal · Oct 22, 2026

When a multilingual LLM flips its answer under user pressure, it is unclear whether it knew the correct answer and yielded (sycophancy) or simply lacked competence in that language. This paper introduces the SC-matrix, a $2 \times 2$ diagnostic crossing Competence ($C$) and Sycophancy ($S$) to decompose behavior into four cells: Robust, True Sycophancy, Honest Uncertainty, and Uninformed Deference. Their experiments across six languages and three models show that aggregate sycophancy rates hide very different failure mixtures, and that reasoning-based prompts outperform direct alignment instructions at reducing pressure-induced flips.

When a multilingual LLM agrees with a user's false premise, is it being sycophantic, or does it simply not know better in that language? Current research does not distinguish these cases: they record only whether the model agreed, not why. We introduce the SC-matrix, that crosses a model's competence (whether it answers correctly under no pressure) with its sycophancy (whether it maintains that answer under pressure). Our results show that (1) identical aggregate sycophancy rates can mask different failure compositions, (2) high competence in a language does not always protect against sycophancy, and (3) reasoning-oriented mitigations outperform directive-based strategies. We find that multilingual sycophancy is not a single phenomenon but a composite of different failures that require distinct diagnosis.
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cs.AIcs.CL Tim Wenjie Hu, Evelyn Nafula Ouma, Benjamin Akera et al. · Oct 22, 2026

This paper investigates whether Group Relative Policy Optimisation (GRPO), previously applied to LLM-based speech recognition, can improve smaller encoder-decoder ASR models in a multilingual, low-resource setting. Using Whisper-large-v3 as a case study, the authors train SunflowerASR on 51 African languages and report state-of-the-art macro-averaged WER on AfriVox-v2 and SimbaBench. Key innovations include a headroom-based training example selection strategy and careful ablations isolating the reinforcement signal from mere additional training.

Autoregressive encoder-decoder speech recognition models trained with teacher forcing can suffer from exposure bias, limiting their ability to recover from their own prediction errors at inference time. Recent work has shown that reinforcement learning with Group Relative Policy Optimisation (GRPO) improves speech recognition in major languages with LLM-based models. We extend this line of work to smaller, non-LLM encoder-decoder ASR models, using Whisper-large-v3 as a case study across 51 African languages. The benefits of this approach are most pronounced when training data is scarce or when input audio is noisy or degraded. Our resulting model, SunflowerASR, achieves the best published macro-averaged WER on the AfriVox-v2 (0.227) and SimbaBench (0.372) benchmarks, and is publicly available.
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cs.CVcs.AI Keigo Watanabe, Hiroshi Kera, Kazuhiko Kawamoto · Oct 22, 2026

The paper attacks the combinatorial cost of maintaining separate LoRA adapters for every pretrained backbone–task pair. Its core idea, LoRA superposition, is to sum the low-rank updates learned independently on different backbones and apply the same composite update unchanged to every contributing model. The empirical finding is that frozen backbones implicitly select their own component from the sum, enabling a single shared adapter without explicit routing or cross-model alignment. If the phenomenon generalizes, it could enable modular adapter libraries that work across pretrained models without joint retraining.

Low-rank adaptation (LoRA) is usually tied to the pretrained backbone on which it is learned. We ask whether LoRAs trained independently for the same task on different pretrained backbones can be summed and applied unchanged to all contributing backbones. We call this construction LoRA superposition. Across seven ViT-B/16 CLIP backbones and eight image-classification tasks, the exact sum improves all 56 backbone-task pairs and achieves a mean accuracy gain of 30.21 percentage points over the unadapted backbone. The exact sum achieves a mean accuracy only 0.28 percentage points below that of individually trained solo LoRAs. In contrast, a leave-one-model-out (LOMO) sum produces a mean gain of only 0.06 percentage points over the unadapted backbones. Backbone-specific solo LoRAs are nearly orthogonal in parameter space, while pairwise cross-backbone responses are strongly concentrated on the diagonal. These results support a component-wise non-interference hypothesis, under which the frozen backbone acts as an implicit selector of its own component without explicit routing or cross-model alignment.
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cs.AI Yutian Tao, Haoan Feng, Xin Xu et al. · Oct 22, 2026

Urban flooding threatens infrastructure but specialist hydrological modeling is often inaccessible to smaller municipalities. This paper proposes a GeoAI agentic framework that extracts terrain basins from public elevation data using discrete Morse theory, ranks them with a multi-criteria relative flood-priority score, and strictly limits the language model to recorded decision points—threshold selection, recommendation drafting, and self-review—under three human-in-the-loop checkpoints. The goal is transparent, screening-level flood-risk triage that keeps geospatial computation deterministic and recommendations traceable.

Open-world geographic artificial intelligence (GeoAI) agents can transform public geospatial data into accessible decision support for real-world challenges, but must balance autonomous reasoning with reliable spatial analysis and human oversight. We present a topology-guided GeoAI agentic framework for urban flood screening that takes a place name, drawn region, or uploaded boundary and returns ranked candidate basins with an interactive map and report. A deterministic controller retrieves public elevation, rainfall, soil, land-cover, exposure, and infrastructure layers, extracts terrain depressions with discrete Morse theory, and ranks basins with a relative flood-priority score. The language model acts only at recorded decision points: selecting a persistence threshold from a precomputed candidate table, drafting recommendations from computed evidence, and reviewing each recommendation against the same evidence. Three human-in-the-loop checkpoints let users revise the threshold, factor weights, or recommendation. In a College Park, Maryland case study, the selected threshold reduced 278 raw terrain minima to 70 basins, with 77% of these basins' lowest points also identified as sinks by a separately computed eight-direction (D8) flow-routing model. Across four further study areas, agreement ranged from 61% to 83%. By combining open data, explicit spatial reasoning, traceable evidence, and human oversight, the framework enables transparent first-pass flood screening while keeping consequential recommendations inspectable and user-controlled.
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cs.AI Viet-Thanh Pham, Thuy-Trang Vu, Zhuang Li et al. · Oct 22, 2026

The paper tackles the problem of social world modeling, where an agent must anticipate how other parties might respond to its actions in multi-turn interactions. The key insight is that social environments are inherently stochastic—one action can trigger several plausible responses—so predicting only a single future or exploring alternatives through repeated simulation at inference time is either myopic or expensive. The authors propose DSWM, a 4B-parameter distributional model that outputs a compact set of response clusters, each with a probability and predicted immediate and final outcome values, trained from 50-rollout Monte Carlo targets via supervised fine-tuning and GRPO. The setup is evaluated across five environments with held-out scenario families and unseen interaction backbones.

Social world models predict how interactions develop after an action, helping agents negotiate, cooperate and mediate. In these situations, one action can lead to several plausible futures, hence predicting only one future can overlook consequential alternatives, while exploring them through repeated simulations increases inference cost. We propose DSWM, a Distributional Social World Model that predicts alternative responses, their probabilities and immediate and final outcome values in one output per candidate action. We train a 4B model on repeated simulations using supervised fine-tuning and GRPO. At inference time, the actor uses these possible consequences to choose an action. Across three seen and two unseen environments, with interaction backbones absent from training collection, DSWM achieves the best average performance on 13 of 15 metrics. Ablations show that retaining multiple futures and their predicted probabilities improves outcomes in all five environments.
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cs.CVcs.AI Ali Abedi, Q. M. Jonathan Wu, Ning Zhang et al. · Oct 22, 2026

Federated unsupervised domain adaptation (FUDA) aims to adapt a model to an unlabeled target domain using decentralized labeled sources without centralizing raw data. This paper proposes SKD-ETR, a one-shot FUDA framework that trains a randomly initialized student on the target domain via smoothed knowledge distillation from an ensemble of source teachers, while simultaneously refining those teachers back toward the student through exponential moving average (EMA) updates. The authors claim this bidirectional, communication-efficient loop yields competitive accuracy on standard benchmarks while remaining robust to noisy pseudo-labels.

Federated unsupervised domain adaptation (FUDA) addresses the challenge of adapting models to an unlabeled target domain using decentralized source domains while preserving data privacy. However, existing FUDA methods typically require multiple communication rounds, rely on complex aggregation strategies, and often struggle with noisy pseudo labels and inconsistent source knowledge. To address these challenges, we propose SKD-ETR, a novel one-shot FUDA framework that combines Smoothed Knowledge Distillation (SKD) and Exponential moving average-based Teacher Refinement (ETR). SKD trains a student model on the target domain using smoothed soft pseudo labels generated by the ensemble of source models. This reduces overconfidence, mitigates noise, and improves robustness. ETR further refines each source model by interpolating its parameters toward the student via exponential moving average (EMA), thereby transferring target-domain knowledge back to the teachers. This bidirectional refinement enhances pseudo-label quality and student generalization without additional communication overhead. SKD-ETR eliminates complex aggregation by initializing the student model randomly and performing a single-round distillation process. Extensive experiments on OfficeHome, Office-Caltech, and DomainNet demonstrate that SKD-ETR achieves competitive performance while being communication- and computation-efficient, and robust under noisy supervision. The code for this paper is available at https://github.com/A-Abedi/SKD_ETR.
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cs.AI Zhiming Meng · Oct 22, 2026

This paper challenges the prevailing narrative that speculative-decoding acceptance rate inevitably decays as a chain-of-thought grows longer. The authors conduct the first systematic, full-length measurement using independent draft models—neither trained on target outputs—across all 500 MATH-500 problems, two decoding modes, and roughly 1.78 million verification rounds. After controlling for a greedy repetition pathology, they find that acceptance does not decay with position within the supported ranges (greedy 0–8K, sampling 0–12K) and actually rises slightly. They further show that failures concentrate on high-entropy reflection tokens rather than on late positions, and that a lightweight LoRA trajectory-alignment intervention fails to improve mean accepted length, redirecting draft-alignment objectives toward directly optimizing the acceptance criterion.

The claim that speculative-decoding acceptance rate decays as a chain-of-thought grows longer has become a de facto industry narrative, motivating draft-model co-design and position-aware training. Nearly all direct evidence comes from trained drafters whose offline training length is far shorter than inference, so a purely positional law has never been isolated. We present the first systematic, full-length measurement of acceptance rate as a function of generation position on MATH-500 (all 500 problems), under greedy and sampling decoding, with two independent drafts against DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-7B: a same-family draft (DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-1.5B) and a cross-family draft (Qwen2.5-1.5B-Instruct), yielding about 1.78M verification rounds. Using within-problem paired tests, we find that after isolating a greedy-decoding repetition pathology, acceptance rate does not decay with position in any of the four configurations within the supported ranges (greedy 0-8K, sampling 0-12K); the second half of each trajectory is slightly but significantly higher than the first. A controlled temperature sweep shows that the apparent sampling-mode degradation of high-entropy reflection tokens is a visibility artifact of argmax agreement, not a drop in expected acceptance probability. Rejections concentrate with high precision on reflection trigger tokens such as &#34;wait&#34;, &#34;however&#34; and &#34;check&#34;, an entropy-selective failure that a lightweight three-arm LoRA trajectory-alignment intervention (uniform, reflection-marked, entropy-weighted) fails to improve in mean accepted length. We thus supply the positional baseline that independent draft-target pairs were missing, and localize the residual failure to decision-point entropy rather than position.
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cs.AI Min Zeng, Zaifu Zhan, Kai Yu et al. · Oct 22, 2026

The paper introduces ChronoEvo, a benchmark of 1,709 real clinical-guideline revisions spanning 12 semantic change types, to test whether LLMs update recommendations when given evolving medical evidence. Its central finding is a persistent dissociation: models frequently recognize that a recommendation has changed yet fail to fully incorporate those changes, leaving a roughly 32-percentage-point recognition-to-incorporation gap even when revised evidence is explicitly provided. This establishes faithful knowledge incorporation as a distinct and under-measured dimension of clinical LLM reliability.

Medical knowledge evolves as clinical guidelines revise recommendations, yet whether large language models (LLMs) faithfully incorporate such changes remains unclear. We introduce ChronoEvo, comprising 1,709 recommendation-level revisions across 12 forms of medical knowledge change, to distinguish recognition of revised guidance from incorporation into clinical recommendations. In the primary model, 90.8% of responses recognized revisions and 80.2% were clinically correct, but only 58.5% fully incorporated guidance, yielding a 32.3-percentage-point recognition-incorporation gap. This dissociation persisted across 14 models and was corroborated by two clinicians' adjudicated assessment of 300 responses, yielding a 40.3-percentage-point gap in the validation sample. Changes in recommendation strength and patient eligibility were associated with retention of outdated guidance. A revision-salience intervention reduced outdated-content retention and improved clinical correctness but did not significantly improve full incorporation. These findings identify faithful incorporation of evolving medical knowledge as a distinct challenge for clinical LLM reliability, even when updated guideline evidence is available.
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cs.LGcs.AI Shawn Im, James Oldfield, Adel Bibi et al. · Oct 22, 2026

Understanding how reasoning models compute their chain-of-thought is challenging because sampled responses vary widely, making it hard to isolate the effect of a prompt intervention. This paper proposes behavioral counterfactuals: keep a generated response fixed and compare next-token distributions under a control prompt and an intervention prompt. The authors train a residual-stream edit module to minimize the $\mathrm{KL}$ divergence between the edited and counterfactual output distributions, then attribute recovery to individual token edits and validate with activation patching. On ethical reasoning tasks, they find that filler and question tokens mediate a substantial share of the intervention’s influence even when the model never verbally acknowledges the suggestion.

Faithfully understanding the internal process that occurs as models form their chain of thought is an important problem with the rise in model capabilities. However, this remains challenging due to the variance in sampled responses, making it difficult to isolate the effects of interventions and compare model reasoning systematically. We propose a method for localizing and analyzing how a given intervention affects the model's reasoning through behavioral counterfactuals: given a fixed response, how does introducing an intervention to the prompt change the next-token distributions? We train a module to edit the residual stream such that it minimizes the KL divergence between the output distributions for a fixed response under a source prompt and its counterfactual target prompt. We find that matching the output distributions recovers the counterfactual behavior more effectively than standard activation reconstruction objectives and validate that attribution of the trained module outputs is effective for identifying causally important locations for counterfactual recovery. The attribution maps and visualizations of the downstream effects of model edits provide an interface for generating hypotheses about the original model's computation, which can then be tested with activation patching. In a case study on Gemma-4-E4B-it and DeepSeek-R1-0528-Qwen3-8B, we investigate how a suggestion influences model reasoning even when it is not verbally acknowledged. Our analysis identifies representations at the question statement and filler tokens that mediate a substantial part of the suggestion's influence, with downstream effects such as changing the framing of the justification or even the final answer.
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cs.LGcs.AI Zhijie Zhong, Zhiwen Yu, Pengyu Li et al. · Oct 22, 2026

Time series anomaly detection has fragmented into siloed architectures—RNNs, Transformers, diffusion models, state space models, and LLMs—without a principled way to compare their detection assumptions. This survey attacks the chaos by separating detection paradigms (reconstruction, forecasting, generative, similarity-based, statistical, and LLM-driven) from backbone architectures, and formalizes a multivariate taxonomy that includes channel-correlation anomalies. It also delivers a critical empirical analysis of evaluation metrics and releases an open-source benchmark. The result is a much-needed map for researchers navigating a rapidly expanding landscape.

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is a foundational problem in data mining, aiming to identify observations that deviate significantly from nominal temporal patterns. Driven by escalating data volumes and application complexity, recent research has yielded diverse architectures, including diffusion models, state space models, and large language models (LLMs). However, existing surveys provide limited coverage of these emerging designs and lack a unified treatment of multivariate anomalies, cross-domain unified modeling, metric reliability, and contemporary evaluation challenges. To bridge these gaps, this survey delivers three core contributions: (1) We establish a refined anomaly categorization and a structured taxonomy of paradigms reflecting modern advances, comparing detection mechanisms and charting developmental trajectories across paradigms. (2) We provide an extensive analysis of evaluation methodologies and conduct comprehensive experiments to assess metric fidelity, complemented by an open-source benchmark repository encompassing algorithms, datasets, and evaluation tools. (3) We outline key open challenges, offering forward-looking perspectives on dynamic thresholding, model interpretability, zero-shot transfer, multi-modal alignment, and foundational models for time series. By addressing existing theoretical and empirical limitations, this survey establishes a coherent framework to guide future TSAD research and practical deployments.
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cs.AIcs.IR Amirhossein Aghaei, Liangyan Li, Shiyi Yang et al. · Oct 22, 2026

Current agentic systems often hallucinate or drift during multi-turn reasoning because they rely on unstructured token-level generation. This paper proposes SGUR, a training-free framework that grounds multi-step inference in structured hypothesis spaces using partial graph alignment and active information gain. Evaluated on a sequential medical-diagnosis benchmark derived from PrimeKG, the results suggest that tighter structural discipline can partially offset the need for ever-larger language models.

Scaling large language models has substantially improved linguistic fluency, yet reliable autonomous agents require more than fluent generation. In multi-turn inference, current agentic systems often produce semantically plausible but structurally ungrounded reasoning, especially under incomplete observations. We propose Structure-Grounded Uncertainty Reduction (SGUR), a training-free framework that complements token-level generation with active uncertainty reduction over structured hypothesis spaces. SGUR represents incomplete observations as a query graph and aligns them with candidate hypothesis graphs through a prior-weighted partial graph matching mechanism, where database-derived empirical priors assign greater importance to decision-relevant relations rather than treating all graph edges uniformly. The resulting inference state is iteratively refined by an active information-gain strategy that selects the next most informative node to query, systematically pruning the candidate space. We instantiate SGUR on a challenging PrimeKG-derived sequential medical diagnosis benchmark, demonstrating that structural grounding can partially substitute for model scale: starting from only two observed symptoms, SGUR achieves 92.5% Hit@3, outperforming the strongest Graph-RAG baseline by 9.4 percentage points while using approximately 5x fewer tokens. Notably, SGUR enables smaller backbone models to match or exceed the performance of models up to 10x larger, suggesting that structural grounding provides a more robust and efficient paradigm for scaling agent performance than relying exclusively on increasing model size.
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cs.HCcs.AI Lei Fan, Fangxue Liu · Oct 22, 2026

This mixed-methods study examines how university students perceive their generative AI skills changing over time and whether those perceived trajectories connect to shifts in learning practices and academic outcomes. Using a retrospective survey of 313 students and interviews with 18 across disciplines, the authors identify heterogeneous developmental patterns—most commonly rapid early improvement followed by a plateau—and find that self-reported academic gains are linked to assignment-process adaptation rather than to a specific trajectory. The work highlights uneven growth across skill domains and signals that institutions should tailor support beyond generic tool training, though the cross-sectional design cannot establish actual longitudinal change.

Understanding how university students perceive the development of their generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) skills over time can clarify how GenAI use relates to learning and academic outcomes. This study examined perceived skill-development trajectories, changes in learning practices, and associated academic gains using a retrospective questionnaire with 313 analyzed responses and interviews with 18 students across subject areas. Descriptive and comparative analyses and exploratory structural equation modeling (SEM) were integrated with thematic analysis. Perceived developmental trajectories were heterogeneous: 34.2% of students reported rapid early improvement followed by a plateau, 28.4% steady improvement, and 21.1% delayed acceleration. Development was also uneven across skills, with improvement in evaluating GenAI outputs perceived as more challenging; assignments were the most frequently selected driver of skill growth. Interviews further indicated increasingly specific prompting, tailored verification, and selective delegation, although some students reported stable routines, dependence, skipped reasoning, or improvements attributable partly to better GenAI tools. Academic gains were reported more often for assignments than for examinations. The SEM indicated a positive indirect association between perceived skill growth and academic gains through adaptation of assignment processes, whereas academic gains did not clearly differ across developmental trajectory groups after multiplicity correction. The findings suggest that perceived GenAI skill development varies in both trajectory and skill domain and is associated with changes in learning practices and differentiated academic benefits.
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cs.CVcs.AI Minhyuk Seo, Minjae Lee, Chaeeun Lee et al. · Oct 22, 2026

Multimodal in-context learning remains weak because MLLMs often hallucinate and fail to ground textual outputs in the visual evidence provided in demonstrations.
This work argues that the root bottleneck is poor visual grounding rather than a lack of ICL-specific training data.
The authors propose ProCoRe, which uses proposition-level contrastive reinforcement learning on non-ICL image–caption pairs to sharpen fine-grained visual discrimination.
The result is stronger multimodal ICL without catastrophic forgetting, plus a new personalized-captioning benchmark that forces models to rely on demonstrations instead of lexical priors.

LLMs have shown strong in-context learning (ICL) capability, but extending it to Multimodal LLMs (MLLMs) remains challenging. Prior multimodal ICL methods often rely on ICL-specific datasets for additional training or task vector extraction, which can improve performance on the same ICL benchmark used for adaptation. However, they do not generalize well to other benchmarks and often induce forgetting in previously well-solved tasks. For this reason, we identify 'visual grounding' as the key bottleneck in multimodal ICL; MLLMs often fail to attend to task-relevant visual evidence in demonstrations, instead over-relying on textual cues and producing hallucinated outputs. To address this, we propose ProCoRe to enhance visual grounding through contrastive reinforcement learning on multimodal contrastive data for improving multimodal ICL. ProCoRe generates captions for contrastive image pairs, decomposes them into propositions, and optimizes contrastive rewards that encourage alignment with corresponding images while discouraging mismatched ones. Despite never seeing ICL-formatted training examples, ProCoRe improves average multimodal ICL classification accuracy by 5.6% and captioning ROUGE-L by 13.8% over the off-the-shelf Qwen-VL-3-8B model, outperforming ICL-data-dependent state of the arts across benchmarks. Finally, we introduce PICL, a personalized multimodal ICL captioning benchmark that tests whether MLLMs genuinely understand visual demonstrations rather than relying on pre-trained semantic priors.
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cs.CRcs.AIcs.LG Lohith Srikanth Pentapalli, Josette Riep, Justin Ouwerkerk et al. · Oct 22, 2026

The paper tackles the closed-world problem in cybersecurity intrusion detection, where supervised models trained on benign and insider-threat labels fail when confronted with entirely novel botnet activation attacks at test time. The core idea is a hybrid fuzzy ensemble that couples a gradient-optimized Takagi-Sugeno-Kang (TSK) classifier for known suspicious behaviors with a Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) module that flags out-of-distribution (OoD) samples via a raw Min Distance metric rather than traditional membership scores. The work is relevant because it directly targets the operational reality that security operations centers must detect attack vectors never seen during training, and it attempts to do so with an interpretable, rule-based architecture rather than a black-box neural network.

A fundamental paradox plagues the deployment of Machine Learning in cybersecurity: supervised models generalize poorly to novel, Out-of-Distribution (OoD) attacks, whereas unsupervised models often suffer from poor separability, leading to unmanageable false-alarm rates. This challenge is exemplified by the BETH dataset, a kernel-level benchmark in which the training data consists solely of benign and suspicious insider behaviors, whereas the test set consists almost entirely of novel botnet activation attacks. To bridge this detection gap, we propose a Hybrid Fuzzy Ensemble that synergizes the precision of supervised learning with the adaptability of unsupervised clustering. Our architecture integrates a gradient-optimized Takagi-Sugeno-Kang (TSK) fuzzy classifier to act as an expert on known insider threats, with a parallel Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) module to detect geometric anomalies. A critical finding of our research is that traditional fuzzy membership scores degrade in high-dimensional feature spaces due to the curse of dimensionality. We overcome this by introducing a robust Min Distance metric that exploits the raw geometric isolation of botnet activation attacks. This approach yields a state-of-the-art AUROC of 0.9951 on the BETH test set, outperforming the original Isolation Forest baseline by 17.1%. By combining near-perfect OoD detection with the intrinsic interpretability of fuzzy logic, our framework offers a viable path toward robust, transparent, and autonomous network defense.
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cs.AI Zhixin Lin, Dongliang Xu, Jungang Li et al. · Oct 22, 2026

Personalized mobile GUI agents must decide both how user preferences alter execution and when they apply along a trajectory. Existing benchmarks only report aggregate task success, obscuring where and why personalization fails. This paper introduces PrefDiag-Bench, a diagnostic benchmark with 318 end-to-end tasks and 1,664 stage-wise probes that categorize preferences into five execution types and pinpoint bottlenecks in evidence selection and trigger recognition. The result is a reproducible tool set for moving beyond coarse success rates toward targeted improvement of personalization capabilities.

Unlike conventional GUI agents, personalized GUI agents require user preferences to guide sequential execution over changing GUI states. This raises two challenges: determining HOW each preference should alter execution strategy and WHEN it should take effect along the interaction trajectory. Existing benchmarks primarily evaluate overall task success, offering limited insight into these questions. We introduce PrefDiag-Bench with two components: (1) a categorization of preferences into five types, characterizing HOW they affect execution; and (2) a stage-wise diagnostic framework with 1,664 probes, tracing WHEN preferences should take effect and where failures occur. We evaluate eleven GUI agent systems, including end-to-end agents and agentic workflows, under two forms of user context: explicit user profiles and behavioral memory logs. Although existing agents achieve relatively high completion rates on non-personalized tasks, performance is substantially lower on preference-personalized tasks. Even the best-performing model, Seed-2.0-Pro, achieves only 47.17% on Process preferences under explicit user profiles. Agents struggle particularly with Ranking and Process preferences. Further analysis reveals two key capability bottlenecks: selecting relevant evidence from user history and recognizing when preferences should take effect during execution. Controlled interventions that explicitly provide relevant evidence improve end-to-end task success by up to 7.06%. PrefDiag-Bench offers a more systematic evaluation of GUI agents' personalization capabilities beyond overall task success. Code and data are available at https://github.com/Zhixin-L/PrefDiag-Bench.
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stat.MEcs.AIcs.LG Xiaojing Sun, Yuhan Zeng, Xiao Wang · Oct 22, 2026

AI agents that act as statistical analysts evolve through model upgrades, prompt edits, and new tools, but each change risks inflating Type I error. This paper introduces continual validation: before any update is deployed, it is frozen and tested on newly simulated null data using exact binomial confidence bounds with a decaying per-update risk budget. The result is a lifetime guarantee that no invalid version passes, which matters because classical fixed-procedure guarantees break under adaptive, open-ended evolution.

AI agents increasingly act as analysts whose decision can often be cast as hypothesis tests. Classical tests control the Type I error rate, the probability of rejecting a true null hypothesis, for fixed procedures. However, AI analysts introduce internal randomness and can evolve continuously over time. As AI analysts evolve, the risk of approving versions with Type I error rates above the target can accumulate, and adaptive use of evaluation feedback can lead to overfitting. We introduce continual validation, which evaluates each proposed AI analyst version before deployment using simulated data under the null hypothesis, with scenarios that can be randomized and expanded over time. We prove that, regardless of how updates are chosen or how many are proposed, the lifetime probability of ever deploying a version whose Type I error rate exceeds the allowed level remains bounded. This guarantees that every subsequent decision controls the Type I error rate at the target level across these scenarios. At the same time, updates with sufficiently low Type I error rates pass validation with high probability, allowing the analyst to continuously improve its performance without sacrificing rigor. In two examples involving evolving AI analysts for bioequivalence studies and product A/B tests, Type I error rates reached 0.098 and 0.183 without continual validation, compared with at most 0.045 and 0.044 with it, while retaining 82% and 96% of the power from optimally selected valid updates.